Summer 2010 Forecast

Shane has an overview of what South-Central Kentuckians can expect for the upcoming season.

Summertime and the livin's easy.  That's the way Sublime sang it some years ago.  Mother Nature is always on the job, though, even through the "Dog Days".  What can we expect this year?  Well, I don't see us being nearly as wet as last summer (June and July '09 were both top 5 wet months all-time respectively).  I also don't see us being quite as cool as last summer, although by the same token, I don't see this season being the scorcher that 2007 was, for example.  Here's the breakdown: 

JUNE:  Look for the first month of "meteorological summer" to be a bit cooler and a bit wetter than normal, though not nearly as wet as May.  The month will start out unsettled before the pattern quiets down somewhat by mid-month.  A couple of episodes of severe weather are certainly possible.  Normally we see our first 90 degree day around June 6th.  We've yet to officially hit that mark, but we should do so for the first time by mid-month.

JULY:  This is typically the hottest month of summer, and I think this year it will live up to its billing.  That being said, it should NOT give any of the blistering Julys of the 1930s or (much more recently) 1980 a run for their money.  I look for this month to feature near normal temps with near normal precip.

AUGUST:  The last month of meteorological summer should give us slightly below normal temps and near normal precip.  However, I must admit the latter is much more uncertain than the former, especially this far out.  I say this because I feel there's a better-than-average chance we could be looking at tropical cyclone remnants coming into play at some point during this month.  Remember Katrina in 2005?  Its remnants passed right over South-Central KY, dumping anywhere from 3 to 11" of rainfall.  That rain effectively eliminated the moderate to extreme drought conditions that had developed that summer.  While we hope for no more Katrina's (certainly for the sake of our neighbors to the south along the Gulf coast), any rain from a tropical system could actually be a blessing should we gravitate toward drier conditions by late summer. 

OTHER PREDICTIONS: 

*Number of 90 degree days for Bowling Green:  Between 25-30 (Seasonal average: 32)

*Number of 100 degree days for Bowling Green:  0

Shane

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