El Niño’s Impact on Fall Colors: What to Expect This Season

How El Nino will effect fall leaves
Published: Aug. 25, 2026 at 4:45 PM CDT

BOWLING GREEN, Ky. (WBKO) - The strongest El Niño on record is reshaping what fall will look like across our region — and it’s going to affect one of autumn’s most beautiful sights: our changing leaves.

We’ve talked extensively about the strongest El Niño on record this year and the warmer temperatures and abundant moisture it brought us this summer. But here’s what many don’t realize: as we head into fall and winter, the pattern flips completely.

How leaves may be different this fall an why.
How leaves may be different this fall an why.(Eden Godfrey)

Why Drier Conditions Mean Duller Colors

El Niño typically brings drier conditions to our region during fall and winter — a stark contrast to the wet summer we just experienced. This shift has a direct impact on how vibrant our fall foliage will be.

Leaves depend on water to produce those brilliant reds, oranges, and yellows we look forward to each year. With less rainfall expected this fall and winter, we won’t see the deep, rich reds that typically paint our landscapes. Instead, expect more muted tones: yellows will still be visible, but reds and bronzes will be softer and less intense.

A Shorter Window to Catch Peak Colors

There’s another factor at play. Because heat is likely to linger longer than normal into the fall season, the actual color change will happen later than usual. This means a shorter window to catch peak fall colors before the leaves drop.

You’ll Still Have a Beautiful Fall

Don’t worry — we’ll still have a beautiful fall season. Just expect those colors to be a bit more subtle than in previous years. If you’re planning leaf-peeping trips, plan them a little later in the season than you normally would to catch the best display.

Bottom line: This year’s fall will be pretty, just different. Adjust your expectations and your timing, and you’ll still enjoy one of nature’s most spectacular shows.

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Stream WBKO News Anywhere, Anytime.(WBKO)